WEATHER UNTIL JUNE 1, 2023, ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
The anticyclone remains unbalanced over northern Europe and this greatly affects the weather in Italy, where the storms continue to occur. By the weekend, a greater thrust of the anticyclone will materialize towards our latitudes, but not enough to inhibit atmospheric instability. Basically, high pressure will not be able to guarantee full protection.
Storms will always be lurking at least in the mountains. Temperatures will rise a few degrees thanks to more sun. The heat will not reach excessive levels for the moment. Therefore, the mercury column will remain at typical values for the period and only in isolation. they will reach a maximum of 30 degrees or more.
The scenario does not seem to change even for the first days of the new week with still daytime storms. The instability could also be accentuated by a slight high-altitude cyclonic circulation. more evident, with a point of support between the Balearic Islands and Sardinia. Electrical storms will be more common in mountainous areas, also involving plains and coasts.
The anticyclone will remain solid in north-central Europe, leaving the Mediterranean at the mercy of a pressure gap with relentless instability. Summer can wait for the moment and there will still be storms, but during the long weekend of June 2, a first timid comeback of the African anticyclone is not ruled out towards the Mediterranean.
Saturday May 27: in the morning a few showers in the Northwest in the morning, fading quickly. During the day, more daytime storms hit the internal and mountainous areas of the Alps and Apennines, especially in the south and in Sicily, with invasions also on the coasts of the lower Tyrrhenian Sea.
Sunday May 28: sunny at first, then cumulogenesis associated with downpours near the Alps and inland south-central Sardinia.
Monday May 29: Instability is likely to increase, with frequent thunderstorms in inland areas.
More weather trends: a weak low-pressure circulation over the Mediterranean, fed by fresh air at high altitudes, will favor the development of daytime storms. This scenario will continue at least until the first days of June.
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